Gammons: Todd Heltons Hall of Fame case is complicated and compelling for reasons unlike
What many of the participants in the 1994 Cape Cod League All-Star Game remember about that day was that it was unusually windy.
“The wind was blowing hard in from center and right field, which was unusual for Orleans,” recalls Yankees scout Matt Hyde, who then was an assistant coach for Brewster.
“It wasn’t a great baseball day,” says Todd Helton, who played for Orleans and had narrowly beaten out Brewster’s Sean Casey as the East team’s starting first baseman.
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Some, though, look back and think about things beyond the weather — especially those of us who were asked to throw out the first pitch. What does stand out for most of us, however, is that because of the wind, the home run derby couldn’t be what they had hoped. Northeastern University first baseman Mike Glavine — who finished the season with 13 homers and at the time was tied with Lamar outfielder Morgan Walker for the regular-season lead — interested scouts, especially with his being Tom Glavine’s brother. Nebraska’s Darin Erstad was the best player in the league, already on the path to being the first pick in the 1995 draft. He was, of course, also a noted football player at Nebraska, and had won the 1994 national championship. And he wasn’t the only two-sport star at the game that day.
“We have a punter and special teams dynamo from Nebraska and the starting quarterback at Tennessee in this derby,” one scout said. “But why is Todd Helton in a home run derby? He hasn’t hit a home run in this league.”
And he wouldn’t. When he left prior to the playoffs, Helton played 35 games, good for 120 at-bats, hitting .308 with nine doubles — but no homers. Several scouts pushed for Casey. Some pushed for Erstad, who was also Bradley’s department store Employee of the Month for June, while Mark Kotsay was everyone’s favorite grocery bagger at the Bourne A&P. The next summer Erstad went first overall to the Angels, while Kotsay was MVP of the College World Series.
“Mike (Glavine) was a hitter who pulled a lot of balls in the air to the pull side,” remembers Hyde, who now sees a lot of Glavine because Glavine coaches Northeastern, a major national sleeper in college baseball. “He’d hit balls that on a normal day would be home runs, but the wind killed.”
The same thing happened to Erstad, who, if you remember Game 6 of the 2002 World Series, could hit bombs to right field. Not that day.
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But Helton?
“What was strange,” says Helton, now back home in Knoxville, “is that I normally didn’t hit balls out to center and right.”
Bill Mosiello, Helton’s coach at Tennessee who that summer coached Brewster, says “he just hit bullets out there that day, and they cut through the wind.” Mosiello, who later managed Mike Trout in the Angels system, says one of his jobs that summer “was to make sure no baseball team stole Helton away and get him back to the football coaches at Tennessee.”
Helton was in Knoxville for fall practice. Peyton Manning wasn’t ready to take over, not yet.
On the Cape, they essentially made the derby a shootout, first homer wins. Helton won.
“That was the first home run derby I ever won. I never won one in the minors, either,” he says.
That seems all right. He hit 369 homers in the National League. Glavine was a 22nd-round pick by Cleveland in ’95, played seven games with the Mets with his brother, got one hit, and when he was replaced for defensive purposes at first base, his substitute was Tony Clark.
By the time the 1995 college season began, Erstad was a sure thing as the first pick. José Cruz Jr. of Rice was the third pick followed by Kerry Wood. All along, scouting directors projected Helton to be the fifth pick, going to the Oakland A’s, but when Cuban refugee Ariel Prieto became eligible for the draft, the A’s took him, so Helton dropped to eighth. Those things happen. With the 15th pick, Boston took a Texas high school pitcher named Andy Yount instead of Roy Halladay, who went 17th to Toronto. Yount hurt his hand and started 12 games in the Red Sox organization. Halladay is in the Hall of Fame.
When I mailed my Hall of Fame ballot on Dec. 27, Todd Helton was one of the names on it. I voted for Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens and David Ortiz, although I don’t believe my selection of Ortiz should be explained like the other two. I voted for six others, as well.
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There are always names that stand out when they first appear on the ballot — and, for me, if one plays 10 years in the big leagues, that itself is a remarkable achievement — and there are also many whose candidacies become more distinctive after two or three years examination over multiple ballots. Apologies to Brian Kenny, because when Abreu came on the ballot last year, I passed him by; a year later, I realize he is, at worst, a fringe candidate, and a year from now the same might be true of Tim Hudson, Andy Pettitte, Jimmy Rollins and Joe Nathan.
In the past, I saw Helton as a fringe candidate. Now, I feel very strongly about him. That Home Run Derby was on July 23, 1994. The next Hall of Fame induction ceremony will be July 24, 2022. At the forum of the inductees on July 25, maybe we can recreate Glavine vs. Helton with Wiffle Balls and bats, as happened after Chipper Jones and Alan Trammell were inducted and finished the day-after forum, when they were joined by Trammell’s guest, Lou Whitaker, in their HOF version of a home run hitting contest.
In reality, Helton’s election process may be a long one, as it is with Curt Schilling in his final time on the writer’s ballot, and for Jeff Kent the next year. Remember, Larry Walker polled 34.1% in 2018, his eighth year on the ballot, then jumped to 54.1% in 2019 and made it in 2020, then had to wait for his induction until September of 2021.
A career playing in Coors Field is hard to quantify, a fact which made Dan O’Dowd’s job as general manager exceedingly difficult over his many years with the Rockies. There is the light air and the associated recovery issue; remember, pitcher Mike Hampton, among others, slept in a hyperbaric chamber. In his 10 years at Coors Field after his 1995 trade from Montreal, Walker played more than 142 games once, 153 in 1997, his best season. In Helton’s first 10 full major-league seasons, 1998-2007, he averaged 154 games.
“He hated to sit, which is why his last six years were spent in pain, between back problems and three elbow operations,” says O’Dowd.
Facts: Helton’s 1.048 home OPS is the eighth-best ever among players appearing in more than 1,000 games, trailing names like Babe Ruth, Ted Williams, Walker and Barry Bonds (incredible when one knows how hard it was to hit balls out to right field in what was then Pac Bell Park).
There is the ball movement factor, the way the ball moves differently in Colorado, and how that impacts players when they go on the road. “You play a dozen games at home and balls don’t move that much, then you go on the road for the next dozen games against the same teams and the pitches move completely differently,” says O’Dowd. “That makes hitting really difficult.”
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Helton’s career road OPS was .855, among the greatest ever home-road split, although hitters who played in Boston may wonder if the splits for a strong left-handed hitter wouldn’t be similar to those in Denver (Williams and Wade Boggs are among the all-time home average leaders). Taking his seasons as a whole, home and road, one appreciates the comps offered on Helton — Don Mattingly, George Brett, Boggs, Freddie Freeman — and remembers the fact that he had 10 consecutive seasons with 35 doubles (Bobby Abreu did the same, and his Hall of Fame vote percentage may start creeping up next year). Baseball-Reference’s version of WAR lists him as 12th among first basemen, and two above him — Mark McGwire, Rafael Palmeiro — did not make the Hall because of PED issues.
He was one of the best defensive first basemen among modern players, with great hands and a rocket arm (Tennessee coach Rod Delmonico called him “the best pitcher I ever coached”). In 2000, when he led the National League in OBP, slugging, doubles and runs created, and was second in walks while hitting 42 home runs, the New York Times referred to him as “the greatest player nobody knows.”
I’ve found that those who played with and know him revere his fire and competitiveness. We who live where East Coast bias blossoms from Memorial Day until Labor Day — when with an 8 a.m. tee time, a 6 a.m. run time for stripers or a 7 a.m. 10-miler, one sometimes can watch the last two innings of the Giants-Dodgers — seldom appreciate outstanding Rockies players; ask Ryan McMahon.
Hopefully, Helton continues his upward momentum after his 45 percent showing in 2021, climbing towards election like his former teammate Walker did. Remember, Walker’s first five full seasons were played in Montreal, his final one-and-a-half in St. Louis, and 41 percent of his home games were played where the home in home/road splits didn’t mean residing in the land of a humidor. For Helton, 1,141 games were played with “Coors Lite” still-life pitches, and then, 1,106 spent adjusting to real-life movement elsewhere in the nation.
So, that’s one name on my ballot. These are the rest.
2. Barry Bonds
Of course I read “Game of Shadows,” and I remain staggered by it, as well as the astounding reporting that made it the “Peril” of baseball history books. But when the 2022 Hall of Fame Induction Ceremonies take place on July 24, it will be the 17th such July celebration since Major League Baseball had a definitive PED policy.
I see where so many of the Hall of Fame players object to PED-accused players being admitted, but in the last decade there have been several inducted who many are convinced used them. The “proof” was word of mouth, not tests. In some cases, teammates were adamant one way or another. The book made it difficult to ignore, but what Bonds and Clemens had which Sammy Sosa did not was a Hall of Fame resume long before the late 1990s. In his final three years with the Pirates and his first season with the Giants, Bonds should have won four straight MVP awards, but for perceptions of his personality.
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Terry Pendleton edged Bonds for the award in 1991, and he was one of John Schuerholz’s best signings and a leader on a team that went last to first, but Bonds was in the midst of winning four consecutive Gold Gloves and in ’91 led Pendleton in on-base, OPS, WAR and homers. I remember asking questions about a productive player in the 1990s and whether his bulked body and offensive numbers were related. Some players thought they were. Others shrugged. In the early 21st century, one slugger said, “I’d bet 75 percent of players used something. If you didn’t, you probably didn’t give a (—).”
Then, remember, the first time a star player was suspended after the drug agreement went into effect in 2005 was Palmeiro, a near-certain future Hall of Famer whose test results and suspension came out at the end of the Cooperstown Hall of Fame induction in July 2005. There is so much we don’t know about the period from 1980 to 2005, so little we understand about the complexities that resulted in the use of PEDs, including how much money was made from players and across a sport whose revenues boomed for so many reasons each decade beyond the Andy Messersmith-Dave McNally free agency decision
Unless the baseball industry has greatly benefitted from offshore accounts, we know that when the players went on strike in August 1994, they got 52% of the revenues, and today that number is somewhere below 50 percent. In that 31-year period, Bonds leads the majors in homers, intentional walks, MVP awards, Wins Above Replacement, Runs Created and putouts in left field, but never was he the highest-paid player in the business.
What will be interesting is that this is the final year Bonds, Clemens and Sammy Sosa are all on the ballot, which will lift some of the clouds off the votes until Alex Rodriguez and Manny Ramirez are off and clear space for more candidates and performance-based debates.
3. Roger Clemens
Clemens’ major-league spring training debut was 1984, in Winter Haven, Fla., against the Tigers, managed by Sparky Anderson, a team that went on to win 104 games and the World Series. Before the game, Anderson talked about the short bus ride from Lakeland, and how some Tigers rookie who’d faced Clemens in the Florida State League the previous summer was talking about an incident when one of his Lakeland teammates — who went to Oklahoma State, which in Clemens’ mind was a bitter enemy — took out Clemens’ Texas and Winter Haven teammate Mike Brumley and knocked him out of the game. When that player got up to bat again, Clemens beaned him.
“I shouted, ‘no more talking about this guy,’” said Anderson. Which made me think about the fourth game of the 2000 ALCS between the Yankees and Mariners, when Clemens threw a fastball behind Alex Rodriguez’s head, and went on to post a complete game shutout with one hit allowed and 15 strikeouts, perhaps the best post-season pitching performance I’ve watched in person.
Clemens pitched for the Red Sox through the 1996 season, won 192 games, including 242 2/3 innings for a bad Red Sox team in 1996 before his bitter departure to Toronto. Twice he pitched games in which he struck out 20 and walked none. He won three Cy Youngs in Boston; it was reportedly there that his alleged/rumored PED use began. When he retired after his age-42 season, he had seven Cy Youngs — three in Boston, two in Toronto, one in New York, one in Houston — and won 354 games, a number topped only by Warren Spahn (363) and Greg Maddux (355) among pitchers born after World War I. He won an MVP. He threw 211 1/3 innings at age 42. He never tested positive.
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There are many baseball fans and scholars who do not believe Bonds or Clemens deserve induction. Alex Rodriguez is unquestionably a Hall of Fame talent, but he was suspended after the owners and players agreed on PED testing; the difference is that voters have years to debate the A-Rod case.
In the bargaining on a labor agreement in 2002, Bud Selig, who had taken his share of criticism for how the 1998 McGwire-Sosa chase became a scandal, wanted drug testing. The MLBPA, with strong leadership, balked, and the two sides reached an agreement where there would be anonymous testing in 2003 — and if more than 5% of players tested positive, real testing would begin in 2005. Around 7% of players did test positive, but they were to be anonymous, and off all records. The union was ready to destroy all test results, “then,” as one of the player reps remembers, “there was a case stemming from BALCO, they delayed destroying the tests …” And the New York Times revealed some of the names, including that of David Ortiz. The results were not legitimized, hence he is not considered to have failed in the same way that A-Rod and Manny Ramirez later did.
In Clemens’ final 1996 season in Boston, he made $5.5 million. In Bonds’ 1998 season, when he’d already won three MVP awards, he made $8.9 million. When Rodriguez admitted his PED use — and, as one who experienced his emotions, his shame and contrition sweated through his sweater because he understood what the game meant to him — he made $33 million. Ramirez made $18.9 million in 2008, the year he shoved his way out of Boston. There were many complications that went along with the growth that more than quadrupled MLB’s revenues from the end of the strike in 1995 to the Palmeiro suspension, revenues that had nearly doubled again when the pandemic so ravaged the business in 2020-21.
4. David Ortiz

The David Ortiz Bridge starts across the street from where the plot to throw the 1919 World Series was hatched, and a couple of hundred yards west begin the Fenway Park offices. Like Ethan Allen at Ticonderoga and Samuel Adams at the Boston Tea Party, the honor of the bridge puts Ortiz in the pantheon of New England heroes.
In April 2013, after the Boston Marathon bombing, there was a ceremony at Fenway Park honoring the heroes and the wounded, the first responders and the police. Ortiz was at one end at the dugout, waiting to follow his teammates as they were introduced and walked on the field. All of a sudden he charged down the dugout and stopped to where I was standing for NESN, at the other end of the dugout.
“That kid they killed was eight years old, same age as my son,” he yelled. “Those (—) killed that kid.”
Ortiz was not scheduled to speak when he was on the field, but he seized the microphone and when he proclaimed “this is our (—) city and nobody is going to dictate our freedom, stay strong,” a deafening roar erupted through the park. Boston Strong began in earnest. The Red Sox, a last-place club in 2012, won the World Series. In Game 2 of the ALCS against Max Scherzer with the Red Sox down a game, Ortiz hit an eighth-inning grand slam to tie the contest, just as he had homered in Game 4 of the 2004 ALCS in the 12th inning to bring the Red Sox back to a 1-3 series deficit against the Yankees. Or homered off Kevin Brown in Game 7. And on and on.
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Ortiz was at the top of the marquee as the Red Sox won World Series in 2004, 2007 and 2013. He hit 541 home runs in his career. Yes, he was a DH in 88% of his major-league at-bats. No less than commissioner Rob Manfred has worked to exonerate him from that 2003 test by joining the many voices who have questioned the 2003 results, which are flawed on numerous levels. Ortiz never failed another test and was never subject to league discipline, unlike Rodriguez, Ramirez and Sosa. Unless impact is not an allowable voting factor, Big Papi is going into the Hall of Fame.
5. Curt Schilling
Pedro Martinez and Randy Johnson won World Series titles alongside Curt Schilling, in their cases three years apart. With Arizona and Boston, the former a franchise’s one-and-only, the latter the organization’s first in 86 years. At a Hall of Fame forum with Johnson, I raised the Schilling issue, thinking much of the audience detested Schilling. “Curt may be part of the reason I’m here,” responded Johnson. “We pushed one another. We competed with each other and made each other better. He belongs here.”
Pedro Martinez, never one to mince words, said, “he taught me a lot about preparation. He may have added a couple of years to my career because of it. I agree. He belongs here.”
One of the most honest and fair people ever worked with is John Kruk, and he often said, “away from the field I often couldn’t stand him. But if I needed to win a game, the one person I wanted on the mound was Curt Schilling.”
Kruk was Schilling’s teammate in 1993 when Schilling beat the Braves — who’d won pennants the previous two years — and got the Phillies to the World Series. Toronto beat Philadelphia, 15-14, in Game 4, which seemingly had broken Philadelphia’s heart and soul. Game 5? Schill, 2-0. Back to Toronto, and then Joe Carter happened.
Schilling won games in all three postseason series in 2001 throwing 98 MPH, in 2004 throwing 95 MPH, and in 2007 throwing, at times, 85 MPH; the Red Sox would sometimes post higher velocities on their scoreboard to keep his spirits up.
Schilling had no problem criticizing an ink-stained wretch like me, as is his given right. He could beat a drum of politics that strained the imagination, yet then if there were a charitable opportunity to help inner-city kids, a signed, game-worn Diamondbacks uniform would arrive via FedEx, or he would participate in fundraising forums.
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Whatever, this isn’t about politics; he never tested positive (and rang up astounding numbers in the Steroid Era). I believe his induction speech will/would be about respect and passion for the game, his admiration for Sandy Koufax, Greg Maddux and others behind him on the Cooperstown stage, and what union leaders like Jim Bunning, Robin Roberts and Tom Glavine did for all players. If he gets to see his plaque up on the wall of the hall, he will be as emotional as Ted Simmons.
6. Andruw Jones
We get some of the issues with Andruw Jones’ candidacy: His .254 average would make him only the fourth player in the Hall with a career average under .260. He had some troublesome on-field patches, such as with the Dodgers, and a 2012 arrest on domestic assault charges. He finished second in the 2005 MVP balloting, the only time he ever finished higher than eighth. He hit 434 home runs, but only approximately 60% of players with that career total are in Cooperstown.
But for all the years he played for the Braves, when their goal was to win, he won 10 Gold Gloves. His first step was mind-boggling, his presence vital as part of the foundation supporting their three Hall of Fame starters. It’s been said only Willie Mays was better, but we may not be including enough looks at Devon White, or even Jim Edmonds. Regardless, Jones was among the all-time great defenders during his years in Atlanta. His 345 home runs and 10 Gold Gloves in a decade (1998-2007) in which the Braves finished first every year from 1998 through 2005 is a piece of history. His career Defensive WAR ranks 22nd all-time; none of those who rank higher are outfielders. And for those of us who love center fielders who could play shallow, he was a favorite, and for most of us in that group, he’s a Hall of Famer.
7. Scott Rolen
Jeff Bagwell once described hitting with 6-foot-4, 245 pound Scott Rolen playing third base as “trying to hit realizing there’s a condominium down there, a condominium that can move like a shortstop.” A condominium that won eight Gold Gloves, and ranks sixth among all third basemen in Defensive War (behind Brooks Robinson, Adrián Beltré, Buddy Bell, Clete Boyer and Graig Nettles).
Then add to that 517 doubles, fourth among third basemen (behind George Brett, Beltre and Chipper Jones), WAR (10th among third basemen and adjusted OPS+ (again tenth). Rolen had conflicts with some managers, and in the second half of his career he sometimes did not seem happy. He is, admittedly, a borderline Hall of Famer, but when a Hall of Famer compares him to a condominium and his 317 home runs and 2,077 hits are inches over the Hall of Fame qualifying numbers, Scott Rolen is one step over the line and onto Route 20 from Albany to Cooperstown.
8. Jeff Kent
No player has hit more home runs while playing second base than his 351, and he notched 377 total while playing other spots. Bowing, as I so often do, to Fangraphs’ Jay Jaffe, if we take players with 7,000 plate appearances — at least half of which came as a second baseman — Kent is second to Rogers Hornsby in slugging, third behind Hornsby and Charlie Gehringer in OPS, 10th among all second basemen in OPS+.
He won an MVP in San Francisco. Few will ever fully understand the motorcycle incident, but when as a young player he refused to dress in women’s clothing for a road trip, he should have been applauded for intelligence, respect for women and his Berkeley-honed freedom of thought. Speaking of Berkeley, he didn’t get enough credit for what he did in saving the baseball program at Cal in 2010 and 2011, and thus helping hand Marcus Semien and Mark Canha over to our baseball pleasure.
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Kent wasn’t a Roberto Alomar-type second baseman; he’d benefit from the game today. But he turned tough double plays, and he just didn’t dwell on the first-person pronoun. Several Astros players have said he was a guy who got to the clubhouse, didn’t say much, then went out and played his behind off. I may be wrong, but the more I spent time with him, the more I believed he loved the game much more than was portrayed. One Astros teammate says, “he would back any teammate at any cost.” OK, maybe not Barry Bonds in San Francisco. I’ve got my pen put aside to check the box for Chase Utley next winter.
9. Billy Wagner
No position is more difficult to judge in the proper historical perspective than relief pitching. Rollie Fingers, Goose Gossage and Hoyt Wilhelm gave their managers whatever was needed, anytime it was needed. I saw Billy Wagner pitch for the Brewster Whitecaps in the summer of 1992 and still believe he’s the best I’ve ever seen in the Cape Cod League.
When he pitched in that summer’s All-Star Game in Harwich, he threw 10 pitches, none were even fouled off, yet scouts voted Wayne Gomes and Brian Anderson as the two best pro prospects in the game. “You can’t be that small and be in the big leagues,” one told me, disappointed because before the game I did a feature for ESPN on him. FYI, when Jim Kaat makes his induction speech, he’s going to mention 5-6 Bobby Shantz, who was 24-7, 2.47 ERA for the Philadelphia A’s in 1952 and won the AL MVP four years before the Cy Young Award was created.
Relievers’ lifespans are usually short; if Jonathan Papelbon had pitched more than a dozen seasons, would he be a Hall of Famer? Wagner could blaze, and he struck out 33.2% of the batters he faced, best in the modern game. The .187 opposing average is way beyond the pale. He was a teacher to Papelbon, and other young reliever teammates.
He’s not going to be inducted this summer. But he deserves more consideration. I do not want to hear that a middle reliever that throws 80 innings is more valuable than someone who closes out 30-something ninth innings on a team that is in a pennant race, and I do want to hear more on the case of Billy Wagner v. History.
10. Gary Sheffield

In March 1986, I was working on a piece on Wade Boggs for Sports Illustrated, and we went to a game to see a pitcher named Chris Myers at Boggs’ alma mater, Plant High School in Tampa. Boggs mentored Myers, and wanted to see the game.
Also at the game was Dwight Gooden. His nephew, Gary Sheffield, was pitching for Hillsborough High School. Myers did not pitch that day; he played first base. Sheffield threw in the low 90’s. Myers got a hit off him. Sheffield hit 509 homers, walked 1,475 times and struck out 1,171 times in the majors. Myers was a first-round pick by the Orioles in 1987, his career stalled in the minors.
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A couple of years later I was doing a story on Sheffield and the neighborhood where he and his uncle grew up in Tampa; he insisted on driving and wouldn’t let me stray far from him, then did most of the interviewing in St. Petersburg, where much of Gooden’s family lived.
Many years after that, I was walking out of Legends Field with Sheffield when a man yelled, “Gary you never come back to your old neighborhood, you’ve forgotten where you came from.”
Seconds passed, and Sheffield muttered, “no, I remember where I came from.”
Sheff had his moments, great and not-so-great. He was drafted by the Brewers, but got into a feud with Harry Dalton and had to be traded. He demanded trades from other teams, but over his career he matured. He went to the West Coast for a winter training with Barry Bonds, which led to charges he used The Clear. Sheffield claimed he didn’t know what he was using, and before he had a press conference, he talked by phone with Harold Reynolds and me and said, “you know what really bothers me, Barry stole my chef.”
BALCO was swirling, and Sheff was still seething about losing his chef.
Remember how hard he swung the bat, then think about that 1,475/1,175 walk/strikeout ratio. He finished his career with 509 homers, 37th in Offensive WAR (ahead of Frank Thomas, Miguel Cabrera, Carl Yastrzemski, Jim Thome, Reggie Jackson, Dave Winfield and Willie McCovey), 39th in extra base hits, and when he retired he went into the agent business.
It’s been more than a quarter-century since I first saw Gary Sheffield; I watched him mature and I always remember one thing — his respect for his mother, Betty Jones, Doc’s sister. Mother and son loved Doc, but the ghosts that haunted the pitcher were not going to get Sheff. I once commented about her toughness, and he said, “you don’t know how tough.” Sheff is his mother’s son, tough enough never to be her beast of burden.
(Top photo of Helton: Justin Edmonds / Getty Images)
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